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The Dragons and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West-David Kilcullen

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In 1993, a newly-appointed CIA director warned that Western powers might have 'slain a large dragon' with the fall of the USSR, but now faced a 'bewildering variety of poisonous snakes'. Since then, both dragons (state enemies like Russia and China) and snakes (terrorist and guerrilla organisations) have watched the US struggle in Iraq and Afghanistan, and mastered new methods in response: hybrid and urban warfare, political manipulation, and harnessing digital technology.Leading soldier-scholar David Kilcullen reveals everything the West's opponents have learned from twenty-first-century conflict and explains how their cutting-edge tactics and adaptability pose a serious threat to America and its allies, disabling the West's military advantage.The Dragons and the Snakes is a compelling, counterintuitive look at the new, vastly complex global arena. Kilcullen reshapes our understanding of the West's foes, and shows how it can respond.

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There is very little that is new here. He does address his models with new (evolutionary) language and I suppose if you have not read On War by Clausewitz or The Art of War by Sun Zu (first stop now and read them) this might seem to be new, but it is not and frankly the two of them are better writers than the author. He seems to be a master of the paragraph sentence and one of the first writers to make Clausewitz (or Henry Kissinger) seem like Hemingway. Enough about style and not everyone can write like a nobel laureate. Pretty much all the ideas he addresses (not the technology but the ideas) were covered in my military strategy class at USAFA in the fall of 1972. That in no way means we follow these good ideas the US military seems to want to try all the bad ideas before we finally find the good one (or rediscover the good ones) I know Churchill said something very similar but he was talking about politics so I did not do a full Biden plagiarism.I guess what I missed in this is his proposals for what we should do to fix the problem BH Liddell Hart in Strategy provides a good example of what we can do to fix the problems (you might not agree with his ideas but he was all in in proposing solutions).What the end of the book reminds me of the most is in the Lord of the Rings Trilogy Gandolf is talking about Denethor when his subjects say he has for seen what would happen and Gandolf says he has forseen and done nothing.I read this book for a book club but I do not recommend the book.
The convergence of state and non-state methods of war into a hybrid model is the key military trend of the last decade. This fact has received extensive treatment since the Iraq War and the 2006 Israel-Hezbollah War, but Kilcullen has done a great service by bringing his keen insight and experience to show how major states, including America's major adversaries, are learning from these developments and adapting accordingly.Most books on current military trends focus on technology--Russian and Chinese cyber, space, and missile capabilities usually take top billing. The value in Kilcullen's book is that he takes a step back and examines how these adversaries actually think about conflict with the United States (noting that they see this as having already begun in the information space), and how they are seeking to adapt and undermine US conventional strengths and not simply to surpass them with better technology. This is a key distinction that too often goes unnoticed by the armies of defense experts who seem myopically focused on the latest piece of flashy, high-speed kit.

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